We said: Orlando City 1-1 New York City FC
Four of the last five matches between these sides have ended in a draw, and with the Pigeons missing one of their top chance creators (Rodriguez) and Orlando also missing one of their best (Pato), this might not be a fast-paced game with a lot of opportunities for either side, especially given the Florida heat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.