Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.