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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
New England Revolution

Seattle
2 - 0
New England

Morris (15'), Rusnak (81')
Morris (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arreaga (23'), Polster (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 4 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-2 New England Revolution

Seattle Sounders and New England Revolution have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. Schmetzer's men are unbeaten in their last six home games against the Revs and we predict that both sides will hold out for a share of the spoils once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawNew England Revolution
59.79% (0.189 0.19) 20.65% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 19.56% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.95% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (0.025000000000006 0.03)37.8% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03)60.05% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.061999999999998 0.06)12.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (0.128 0.13)38.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)32.76% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.136 -0.14)69.31% (0.13900000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 59.79%
    New England Revolution 19.56%
    Draw 20.65%
Seattle SoundersDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 59.79%
1-1 @ 9.44% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Seattle vs New England

Seattle Sounders
40.0%
Draw
25.0%
New England Revolution
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2020 12am
Aug 10, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 30
Seattle
3-3
New England
Shipp (2', 65'), Lodeiro (66')
Ki-hee (89')
Mancienne (27'), Bou (35'), Gil (87' pen.)
Farrell (46'), Mancienne (54')
Jul 8, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 21
New England
0-0
Seattle
Fagundez (41'), Rowe (81')
Lodeiro (42'), Delem (93'), Tolo (94')
Apr 30, 2017 3am
Seattle
3-3
New England
Lodeiro (75'), Bruin (86'), Alonso (88')
Alfaro (44'), Bruin (80')
Kobayashi (16'), Agudelo (26', 54')
May 29, 2016 12.30am
New England
2-1
Seattle
Nguyen (24'), Hollinger-Janzen (80')
Fagundez (35')
Aaron (7')
rhs 2.0
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