Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.