Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
We said: Columbus Crew 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew have not been at their best recently, but LA Galaxy have made a very slow start to the MLS season, particularly away from home, scoring just once on their travels.
As such, we expect the hosts to emerge with a fairly comfortable victory in what could be a high-scoring game, given their fantastic record in front of goal.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.91% . A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.67% .
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.89%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%) , while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.51%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result Columbus Crew Draw Los Angeles Galaxy 57.91% ( -0.79) 21.42% ( 0.21) 20.67% ( 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.21)
60.19% ( -0.17) 39.81% ( 0.17)
37.83% ( -0.17) 62.17% ( 0.18)
86.48% ( -0.29) 13.52% ( 0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.42% ( -0.58) 40.58% ( 0.59)
67.16% ( 0.46) 32.84% ( -0.46)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.59% ( 0.51) 69.41% ( -0.51)
Columbus Crew 57.91%
Los Angeles Galaxy 20.67%
Draw 21.42%
Columbus Crew Draw Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.42% Total : 57.91% 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.42% 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 20.67%
How you voted: Columbus Crew vs LA Galaxy
Columbus Crew
Draw
Los Angeles Galaxy
9
rhs 2.0
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