Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.