MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 22:26:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Toronto FC

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Toronto

Forsberg (44' pen., 76')
Ngoma (74'), Carballo (90+2')
Carballo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kerr (70')
Longstaff (24'), Bernardeschi (45+4'), Petretta (45+4'), Etienne (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Orlando City
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 Toronto

There are no signs that Toronto have fixed their leaky backline, and an opportunistic side like the Red Bulls should be able to take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
58.32% (0.073 0.07) 22.5% (-0.032 -0.03) 19.17% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24% (0.072000000000003 0.07)46.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (0.065999999999999 0.07)69.02% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28% (0.049000000000007 0.05)15.72% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (0.090000000000003 0.09)44.8% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.13% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 58.31%
    Toronto 19.17%
    Draw 22.5%
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.31%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.17%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Toronto

New York Red Bulls
Draw
Toronto
New York Red Bulls
100%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
1-4
NY Red Bulls
Osei Owusu (66' pen.)
Osorio (30'), Bernardeschi (43'), Thompson (80')
Bernardeschi (75')
Forsberg (27' pen.), Tolkin (48'), Morgan (69' pen.), Manoel (88')
Meara (23'), Reyes (38')
Jul 28, 2024 1am
Group Stage
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Toronto
(Aggregate 0-0 | NY Red Bulls win 0-0 on penalties)
Gomis (25')
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
3-0
Toronto
Manoel (30'), Gjengaar (47'), Harper (75')
Edelman (68'), Eile (90+2')

Longstaff (54'), Flores (86')
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
May 18, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
3Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
4Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
5Columbus Crew9531127518
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
7New York City FCNY City104241213-114
8Orlando City93421512313
9Nashville SCNashville94141211113
10Chicago Fire93331615112
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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