Major League Soccer

Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Citypark

St Louis City
1 - 2
Portland

Pompeu (79')
Hiebert (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Evander (63' pen.), Chara (82')
McGraw (8'), Savarese (9'), David Mosquera (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Colorado 1-1 St Louis City
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Portland
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: St Louis City 1-0 Portland Timbers

The Timbers' core has been relatively intact for the most part this year, but they have become somewhat predictable and are missing that killer instinct. Being without an impactful player like Klauss will be a challenge for the home team. However, St Louis have shown they do not need one individual to get them three points, and that depth should carry them through without their key Brazilian.

How to watch

You can watch St Louis City vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Portland Timbers
46.57% ( 0.53)	23.31% ( 0.03)	30.11% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 61.62% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.32% (

-0.44)

39.68% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.97% (

-0.46)

62.03% (

0.46)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

0.03)

17.35% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26% (

0.06)

47.73% (

-0.07)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

-0.57)

25.44% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.73% (

-0.79)

60.27% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 46.57%

Portland Timbers 30.11%

Draw 23.31%

St Louis City	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.57%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.11%