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Major League Soccer
St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Citypark
Minnesota United

St Louis City
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd


Stroud (28'), Parker (61'), Hiebert (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amarilla (78' pen.)
Fragapane (19'), Arriaga (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-4 St Louis City
Sunday, March 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: St Louis City 1-0 Minnesota United

 It may have started as just a feel-good, fairy tale story, but at the moment St Louis appear to be a legitimate contender, showing consistency in the attacking third while possessing plenty of solid contributors. Minnesota love to slow the game down to a crawl at times, and although that has kept them unbeaten, we expect the momentum and depth of St Louis will ultimately be too much for the Loons to handle.

How to watch

You can watch St Louis City vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawMinnesota United
34.33% (0.061 0.06) 25.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 39.79% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.4% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)49.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)71.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.024999999999991 0.02)27.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (0.033000000000001 0.03)63.35% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.68% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)59.21% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 34.33%
    Minnesota United 39.79%
    Draw 25.87%
St Louis CityDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.33%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Minnesota Utd

St Louis City
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Minnesota United
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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