Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.49am UK
Citypark
St Louis City5 - 1Cincinnati
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: St Louis City 1-1 FC Cincinnati
Both teams are off to great starts this year and deserve to be where they are in the table, so given the quality of each, we expect to see some scoring chances but not enough for either to have a decisive edge.How to watch
You can watch St Louis City vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
41.27% ( 0.02) | 24.64% ( 0.01) | 34.1% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
