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Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Earthquakes
2 - 0
Seattle

Espinoza (19' pen.), Trauco (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tolo (41'), Chu (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 2-3 Seattle
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle Sounders

 San Jose have drawn their last two matches, and we can envisage them having to settle for a point once again, with Seattle unlikely to push too hard for a victory having won their last two games. Both sides will be hoping that avoiding defeat proves enough to maintain their positions in the table, as they desperately look to qualify for the end of season playoffs.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
44.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 30.15% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)47.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.019000000000002 0.02)69.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.012 0.01)21.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)54.14% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)65.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 44.82%
    Seattle Sounders 30.15%
    Draw 25.03%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.15%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Seattle

San Jose Earthquakes
20.0%
Draw
33.3%
Seattle Sounders
46.7%
15
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> Preview
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