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Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Ebobisse (8'), Trauco (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lowe (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Philadelphia Union

 Due to their defensive solidity, San Jose can stay unbeaten at home this season by restricting in-form Philadelphia to a low-scoring draw. The visitors boast a dangerous attack, but their hosts have shown more resilience of late and are particularly tough to beat at PayPal Park.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPhiladelphia Union
42.58% (-1.278 -1.28) 26.34% (-0.193 -0.19) 31.08% (1.47 1.47)
Both teams to score 51.88% (1.285 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.37% (1.331 1.33)52.63% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (1.127 1.13)74.28% (-1.127 -1.13)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)58.95% (0.064 0.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (1.743 1.74)31.29% (-1.744 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (1.979 1.98)67.64% (-1.979 -1.98)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 42.57%
    Philadelphia Union 31.08%
    Draw 26.33%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.57%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.203 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.242 0.24)
0-3 @ 2% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Philadelphia

San Jose Earthquakes
30.8%
Draw
30.8%
Philadelphia Union
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-0
Earthquakes
Burke (23'), Gazdag (58' pen.)
Mar 14, 2020 11.30pm
gameweek 5
Philadelphia
P-P
Earthquakes
Sep 26, 2019 4am
gameweek 39
Earthquakes
1-2
Philadelphia
Yueill (35')
Judson (23')
Bedoya (70'), Przybylko (76')
Wagner (7'), Medunjanin (45'), Przybylko (57')
Apr 8, 2018 12am
gameweek 6
Philadelphia
1-1
Earthquakes
Bedoya (64')
Accam (23')
Eriksson (37')
Quintana (56'), Wondolowski (82')
Cummings (96')
Aug 20, 2017 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
Philadelphia
Qazaishvili (3'), Wondolowski (90' pen.)
Jungwirth (13'), Godoy (34'), Thompson (73'), Wondolowski (83')
Elliott (35'), Alberg (55')
Bedoya (74'), Gaddis (90')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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