Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.29%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 9.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.