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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 0
Atlanta

Spicer (35'), Osei Owusu (71')
Long (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Atlanta United

While both sides have shown to be potent in the attacking third early into the new campaign, they have also been pretty solid defensively, and we expect to see a close encounter this weekend between two sides in high spirits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
40.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.36% (0.012 0.01) 34.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (-0.052 -0.05)47.58% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.78% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)23.46% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)57.48% (0.052 0.05)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)26.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.84% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 40.18%
    Atlanta United 34.46%
    Draw 25.36%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Toronto vs Atlanta

Toronto
36.4%
Draw
45.5%
Atlanta United
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 43
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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