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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
BMO Field
Sporting Kansas

Toronto
1 - 3
Kansas

Osorio (90+7')
Coello (57'), Osorio (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Walter (57'), Davis (64'), Vargas (83')
Davis (44'), Leibold (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Sporting Kansas City

Toronto have a new energy this year, and we believe their newfound confidence and solid defensive structure should enable them to frustrate SKC and eventually sneak a goal in to earn a rare victory against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawSporting Kansas City
41.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.69%32.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.39% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.43% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.57% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)57.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 41.57%
    Sporting Kansas City 32.74%
    Draw 25.69%
TorontoDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Toronto vs Kansas

Toronto
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Sporting Kansas City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 9, 2020 9pm
Jun 8, 2019 12am
Gameweek 19
Toronto
2-2
Kansas
DeLeon (43'), Hamilton (95')
Laryea (57'), DeLeon (72'), Fraser (89'), Ciman (93')
Gutierrez (25' pen., 73')
Sanchez (74')
Jul 8, 2018 1.30am
Gameweek 21
Kansas
2-2
Toronto
Sanchez (57' pen.), Russell (61')
Zusi (81'), Wan (94')
Osorio (25'), Hamilton (69')
Zavaleta (56'), Fraser (59')
Apr 1, 2017 12.30am
Toronto
0-0
Kansas
Alti (81')
Sanchez (69')
Mar 20, 2016 11pm
Kansas
1-0
Toronto
Davis (70')
Melia (87')
Espinoza (84')

Cheyrou (60'), Morrow (71')
rhs 2.0
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