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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
DC United

Toronto
2 - 1
DC United

Kerr (14'), Thompson (72')
Kaye (45+2'), Marshall-Rutty (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benteke (87')
Santos (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 3-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-0 DC United

 Since 2015, DC have only captured one away match at BMO Field, and their defence have left Miller hanging out to dry too much this season, so although the Reds seem to have their issues, we believe they will be able to expose the visitors' weak backline on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawDC United
48.94% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 25.18% (-0.23 -0.23) 25.88% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 52.1% (0.849 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (1.042 1.04)50.75% (-1.043 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (0.913 0.91)72.64% (-0.91200000000001 -0.91)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (0.45 0.45)20.75% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (0.701 0.7)53.39% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (0.702 0.7)34.25% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (0.747 0.75)70.95% (-0.749 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 48.93%
    DC United 25.88%
    Draw 25.17%
TorontoDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.17% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.88%

How you voted: Toronto vs DC United

Toronto
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-2
Toronto
Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Canouse (56'), Benteke (60')
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
Bernardeschi (79'), Laryea (85')
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')
Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Laryea (18')
Dwyer (74')
Birnbaum (13'), Kamara (30' pen., 36')
Felipe (65'), Pines (76'), Mora (85'), Birnbaum (90')
Jul 3, 2021 10.30pm
gameweek 13
DC United
7-1
Toronto
Paredes (2'), Robertha (8'), Priso-Mbongue (21' og.), Arriola (71'), Kamara (82'), Rodrigo Asad (85'), Yow (90')
Gressel (57')
Akinola (39')
Gonzalez (35'), Osorio (45+2'), Zavaleta (75')
Zavaleta (78')
rhs 2.0
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