Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41
Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto2 - 2Philadelphia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 44.25% | 24.64% | 31.12% |
| Both teams to score 57.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% | 45.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% | 20.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.87% | 53.14% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% | 27.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.85% | 63.15% |
| Score Analysis |
Toronto 44.25%
Philadelphia Union 31.12%
Draw 24.64%
| Toronto | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.12% |
How you voted: Toronto vs Philadelphia
Toronto
6.3%Draw
12.5%Philadelphia Union
81.3%16
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Aug 15, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 36
Toronto
P-P
Philadelphia
Jul 12, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 29
Philadelphia
P-P
Toronto
Form Guide
