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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 0
Southport

FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Southport
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawSouthport
43.39% (-0.622 -0.62) 26.77% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 29.83% (0.535 0.54)
Both teams to score 50% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)54.78% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)76.09% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.355 -0.36)25.04% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.493 -0.49)59.72% (0.49 0.49)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.351 0.35)33.29% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (0.385 0.38)69.91% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 43.39%
    Southport 29.84%
    Draw 26.76%
BuxtonDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Southport
1-4
Buxton
Watson (90+1')
Kirby (45+3'), De Girolamo (62'), Osborne (74'), Gilchrist (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chester FCChester33188753322162
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe321710555253061
3Brackley Town321841047351258
4Chorley31169648331557
5Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster30166846242254
6Buxton321721353411253
7Hereford UnitedHereford32158944321253
8King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn3215893833553
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton30157840231752
10Darlington30121173628847
11Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports33129123938145
12Alfreton TownAlfreton30127114038243
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor291011847351241
14Leamington FCLeamington30125134136541
15South Shields31124154645140
16Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath32910134445-137
17SouthportSouthport31910123344-1137
18Oxford CityOxford City3189144055-1533
19RadcliffeRadcliffe2988133751-1432
20Needham Market3287173450-1631
21Marine AFC3277182646-2028
22Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic3275202967-3826
23Rushall Olympic3375213171-4026
24Warrington Town31510162343-2025


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