National League North | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford1 - 0Chorley
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Darlington 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Chorley 0-3 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
30
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Chorley |
42.79% ( 0.27) | 26.73% ( -0.22) | 30.49% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.43% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.63% ( 0.84) | 54.37% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.25% ( 0.7) | 75.75% ( -0.69) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( 0.52) | 25.17% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( 0.71) | 59.89% ( -0.71) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% ( 0.4) | 32.61% ( -0.4) |