Spennymoor

5 - 1

Southport

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.