National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground
Telford2 - 3Curzon Ashton
Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Curzon Ashton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Telford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Telford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
42.63% ( -0.3) | 25.75% ( 0.05) | 31.62% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( -0.11) | 50.01% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( -0.09) | 71.99% ( 0.09) |
AFC Telford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.68% ( -0.19) | 23.32% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.73% ( -0.28) | 57.26% ( 0.28) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% ( 0.12) | 29.59% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% ( 0.14) | 65.63% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Telford United 42.62%
Curzon Ashton 31.62%
Draw 25.75%
AFC Telford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.62% |
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
May 8, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-23 06:45:08
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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