National League South | Gameweek 24
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels4 - 0Dover Athletic
Turner (7'), Greenidge (16', 50'), Wood (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dover Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Dover Athletic |
41.58% ( -0.05) | 26.2% ( 0.01) | 32.22% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
