National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
Weymouth2 - 1Welling United
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Welling United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Weymouth 2-5 Hungerford
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Weymouth | Draw | Welling United |
46.43% ( -2.66) | 25.67% ( 0.2) | 27.9% ( 2.46) |
Both teams to score 52.2% ( 1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.62% ( 0.82) | 51.38% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.8% ( 0.71) | 73.2% ( -0.71) |
Weymouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( -0.83) | 22.12% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.51% ( -1.28) | 55.49% ( 1.28) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% ( 2.43) | 32.97% ( -2.43) |