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FA Cup
Dagenham & Redbridge
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 5pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium
Gillingham

Dag & Red
1 - 1
Gillingham

Walker (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kashket (90+2')
Wright (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Dag & Red 2-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Gillingham

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Dagenham & Redbridge 0-0 Gillingham

 Given the contrasting form between these two sides, who are only one division apart, there may be very little splitting the two teams on the day. As such, it would be no surprise to see a draw be the end result, with Gillingham potentially content to take their opponents back to the Priestfield Stadium for a replay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawGillingham
52% (0.685 0.69) 24.08% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 23.91% (-0.747 -0.75)
Both teams to score 53.55% (-1.035 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.978 -0.98)47.88% (0.98 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.905 -0.91)70.06% (0.907 0.91)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.107 -0.11)18.39% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-0.183 -0.18)49.53% (0.186 0.19)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (-1.179 -1.18)34.37% (1.181 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (-1.276 -1.28)71.08% (1.279 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Dagenham & Redbridge 51.99%
    Gillingham 23.91%
    Draw 24.08%
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.302 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.99%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 23.91%

How you voted: Dag & Red vs Gillingham

Dagenham & Redbridge
42.1%
Draw
39.5%
Gillingham
18.4%
38
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2013 3pm
Gillingham
2-1
Dag & Red
Legge (29'), Burton (68' pen.)
Lee (25'), Fish (80'), Burton (87')
Ilesanmi (52')
Lewington (69')
Aug 25, 2012 3pm
Dag & Red
1-2
Gillingham
Gayle (34' pen.)
Spillane (90')
Weston (62'), Burton (30')
Nelson (33')
Apr 9, 2012 3pm
Gillingham
1-2
Dag & Red
Vine (58')
Woodall (38')
Dec 30, 2011 3pm
Dag & Red
2-1
Gillingham
Bingham (22'), Woodall (65')
Woodall (17')
Kedwell (7')
Lawrence (66'), Frampton (73')
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
Gillingham
2-1
Dag & Red
McCammon (8'), Oli (88')
Richards (59')
Saunders (41')
Strevens (32'), Okuonghae (37'), Arber (80'), Saunders (90')
rhs 2.0
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