FA Cup | Second Round Replays
Dec 8, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Gillingham3 - 2Dag & Red
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Salford City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
We said: Gillingham 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge (a.e.t, Gillingham win on penalties)
It is extremely difficult to see where the goals are going to come from in this Gillingham side at the moment, and we would not be at all surprised to see this one go the distance as a resilient Dagenham hold out for another draw. Spot kicks may be necessary to decide both teams' FA Cup destiny, but with the home crowd behind them, we still have faith in Harris's men to edge through by the skin of their teeth and set up a tie with Leicester. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
37.46% ( 0.39) | 25.59% ( -0.31) | 36.95% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
