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FA Cup
Gillingham
FA Cup | Second Round Replays
Dec 8, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Dagenham & Redbridge

Gillingham
3 - 2
Dag & Red

Baggott (26'), Ehmer (77'), Adelakun (90+5')
Tutonda (21'), Jefferies (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Robinson (15'), Saunders (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Gillingham and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Salford City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Gillingham 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge (a.e.t, Gillingham win on penalties)

 It is extremely difficult to see where the goals are going to come from in this Gillingham side at the moment, and we would not be at all surprised to see this one go the distance as a resilient Dagenham hold out for another draw. Spot kicks may be necessary to decide both teams' FA Cup destiny, but with the home crowd behind them, we still have faith in Harris's men to edge through by the skin of their teeth and set up a tie with Leicester. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawDagenham & Redbridge
37.46% (0.392 0.39) 25.59% (-0.31 -0.31) 36.95% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.68% (1.088 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (1.388 1.39)48.34% (-1.383 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (1.255 1.26)70.48% (-1.252 -1.25)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.86499999999999 0.86)25.24% (-0.862 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (1.173 1.17)59.99% (-1.171 -1.17)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (0.602 0.6)25.53% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (0.812 0.81)60.38% (-0.809 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 37.46%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 36.95%
    Draw 25.59%
GillinghamDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Dag & Red

Gillingham
48.3%
Draw
28.3%
Dagenham & Redbridge
23.3%
60
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 5pm
Second Round
Dag & Red
1-1
Gillingham
Walker (80')
Kashket (90+2')
Wright (61')
Feb 16, 2013 3pm
Gillingham
2-1
Dag & Red
Legge (29'), Burton (68' pen.)
Lee (25'), Fish (80'), Burton (87')
Ilesanmi (52')
Lewington (69')
Aug 25, 2012 3pm
Dag & Red
1-2
Gillingham
Gayle (34' pen.)
Spillane (90')
Weston (62'), Burton (30')
Nelson (33')
Apr 9, 2012 3pm
Gillingham
1-2
Dag & Red
Vine (58')
Woodall (38')
Dec 30, 2011 3pm
Dag & Red
2-1
Gillingham
Bingham (22'), Woodall (65')
Woodall (17')
Kedwell (7')
Lawrence (66'), Frampton (73')
rhs 2.0
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