Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aldershot Town in this match.