Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
47.85% ( 0.62) | 24.6% ( -0.13) | 27.55% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 55.36% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.87% ( 0.25) | 47.12% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( 0.23) | 69.36% ( -0.23) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( 0.36) | 19.76% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.2% ( 0.58) | 51.8% ( -0.58) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( -0.24) | 31.01% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.68% ( -0.28) | 67.32% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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