Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.