Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.