Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Wrexham |
22.25% ( 0.04) | 22.76% ( 0.02) | 54.98% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.82% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.11% ( -0.05) | 43.89% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% ( -0.05) | 66.28% ( 0.05) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( 0) | 33.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( 0.01) | 70.31% ( -0.01) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.15% ( -0.04) | 15.85% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.95% ( -0.07) | 45.05% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.25% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 54.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
> National League Full Table |