Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
44.69% ( -4.73) | 24.53% ( 0.81) | 30.77% ( 3.93) |
Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( -1.24) | 45.02% ( 1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( -1.2) | 67.37% ( 1.2) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% ( -2.43) | 20.25% ( 2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% ( -4.03) | 52.59% ( 4.03) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% ( 2.13) | 27.67% ( -2.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% ( 2.65) | 63.22% ( -2.65) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.75) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.61) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.74) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.42) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.44) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.67) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.41) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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