Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
50.4% ( 0.17) | 22.93% ( 0.06) | 26.67% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 60.3% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.73% ( -0.45) | 40.26% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.36% ( -0.46) | 62.64% ( 0.46) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.85% ( -0.1) | 16.15% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.4% ( -0.19) | 45.59% ( 0.19) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( -0.39) | 28.09% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( -0.5) | 63.75% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 26.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
3 | York City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 22 | 27 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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