Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
56.08% ( 0.74) | 21.99% ( -0.08) | 21.93% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 58.01% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.22% ( -0.42) | 40.78% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.83% ( -0.43) | 63.17% ( 0.43) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.58% ( 0.09) | 14.41% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.66% ( 0.19) | 42.33% ( -0.19) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( -0.82) | 32.22% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( -0.95) | 68.71% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.5% Total : 21.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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