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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
2 - 1
Dorking

Linney (5'), Kosylo (11')
Marriott (45+3'), Kosylo (51'), Angus (75'), Angus (75')
Linney (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blair (60' pen.)
Cook (11'), Taylor (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dag & Red 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 4-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-0 Dorking Wanderers

Altrincham have proved themselves to be one of the best teams in the National League this season, and Tuesday's affair is a tough assignment for Dorking. It might be a cagey affair at times, but we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawDorking Wanderers
56.08% (0.743 0.74) 21.99% (-0.084 -0.08) 21.93% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.01% (-0.639 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.22% (-0.419 -0.42)40.78% (0.416 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83% (-0.43 -0.43)63.17% (0.427 0.43)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (0.093999999999994 0.09)14.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.66% (0.187 0.19)42.33% (-0.189 -0.19)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.82499999999999 -0.82)32.22% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.947 -0.95)68.71% (0.943 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 56.09%
    Dorking Wanderers 21.93%
    Draw 21.98%
AltrinchamDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.09%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.93%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Dorking

Altrincham
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Dorking Wanderers
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Dorking
3-2
Altrincham
Muitt (13'), Ottaway (60'), Prior (71')
Linney (5'), Oyedele (8')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Altrincham
4-1
Dorking
Colclough (45+1'), Mullarkey (49'), Bennett (66'), Dinanga (87')
Gallagher (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City1610512891935
2Forest Green RoversForest Green16104229131634
3Barnet16110534201433
4Gateshead1610332819933
5Oldham AthleticOldham168622517830
6Rochdale1683525151027
7Yeovil TownYeovil167452015525
8Solihull MoorsSolihull167362325-224
9AltrinchamAltrincham166552320323
10Halifax TownHalifax166551816223
11Eastleigh166552423123
12Sutton UnitedSutton166462424022
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red165652617921
14Southend UnitedSouthend165652019121
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool165651516-121
16Tamworth166371927-821
17Aldershot TownAldershot164662125-418
18Woking164571823-517
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead164482026-616
20Fylde164392036-1615
21Braintree TownBraintree163491119-813
22WealdstoneWealdstone162681425-1112
23Boston UnitedBoston1624101529-1410
24Ebbsfleet1614111436-227


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