Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
56.08% ( 0.74) | 21.99% ( -0.08) | 21.93% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 58.01% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.22% ( -0.42) | 40.78% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.83% ( -0.43) | 63.17% ( 0.43) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.58% ( 0.09) | 14.41% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.66% ( 0.19) | 42.33% ( -0.19) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( -0.82) | 32.22% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( -0.95) | 68.71% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.5% Total : 21.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 60 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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