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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
2 - 1
Dorking

Linney (5'), Kosylo (11')
Marriott (45+3'), Kosylo (51'), Angus (75'), Angus (75')
Linney (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blair (60' pen.)
Cook (11'), Taylor (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dag & Red 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 4-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-0 Dorking Wanderers

Altrincham have proved themselves to be one of the best teams in the National League this season, and Tuesday's affair is a tough assignment for Dorking. It might be a cagey affair at times, but we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawDorking Wanderers
56.08% (0.743 0.74) 21.99% (-0.084 -0.08) 21.93% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.01% (-0.639 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.22% (-0.419 -0.42)40.78% (0.416 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83% (-0.43 -0.43)63.17% (0.427 0.43)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (0.093999999999994 0.09)14.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.66% (0.187 0.19)42.33% (-0.189 -0.19)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.82499999999999 -0.82)32.22% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.947 -0.95)68.71% (0.943 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 56.09%
    Dorking Wanderers 21.93%
    Draw 21.98%
AltrinchamDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.09%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.93%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Dorking

Altrincham
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Dorking Wanderers
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Dorking
3-2
Altrincham
Muitt (13'), Ottaway (60'), Prior (71')
Linney (5'), Oyedele (8')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Altrincham
4-1
Dorking
Colclough (45+1'), Mullarkey (49'), Bennett (66'), Dinanga (87')
Gallagher (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet29186559302960
2Forest Green RoversForest Green281511246222456
3York City27166552252754
4Gateshead28147751361549
5Oldham AthleticOldham26129543291445
6Rochdale24133838211742
7AltrinchamAltrincham27119744321242
8Halifax TownHalifax2611963124742
9Solihull MoorsSolihull28125114540541
10Sutton UnitedSutton2811893936341
11Southend UnitedSouthend2810993330339
12Eastleigh2891183736138
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2891183334-138
14Yeovil TownYeovil29108113335-238
15Tamworth2697103143-1234
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red2688104036432
17Woking28710112939-1031
18Aldershot TownAldershot28612104248-630
19Braintree TownBraintree2886142738-1130
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2875163557-2226
21WealdstoneWealdstone26510113140-925
22Fylde2774163256-2425
23Boston UnitedBoston2647152444-2019
24Ebbsfleet2919192165-4412


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