Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
37.35% ( -0.09) | 25.07% ( 0.03) | 37.57% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( -0.13) | 45.98% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( -0.12) | 68.29% ( 0.12) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( -0.11) | 24.22% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% ( -0.15) | 58.56% ( 0.15) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.6% ( -0.03) | 58.4% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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