Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 85.64%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (1.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.