Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw has a probability of 17.9% and a win for Rochdale has a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Rochdale win it is 1-2 (3.97%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Rochdale |
68.31% ( -0.35) | 17.85% ( 0.15) | 13.83% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.51% ( -0.25) | 35.49% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.46% ( -0.28) | 57.54% ( 0.28) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.52% ( -0.15) | 9.48% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.19% ( -0.35) | 31.8% ( 0.35) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.94% ( 0.12) | 38.06% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.17% ( 0.11) | 74.83% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Rochdale |
2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.41% Total : 68.31% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.85% | 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 13.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
> National League Full Table |