Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw has a probability of 17.9% and a win for Rochdale has a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Rochdale win it is 1-2 (3.97%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Rochdale |
68.31% ( -0.35) | 17.85% ( 0.15) | 13.83% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.51% ( -0.25) | 35.49% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.46% ( -0.28) | 57.54% ( 0.28) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.52% ( -0.15) | 9.48% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.19% ( -0.35) | 31.8% ( 0.35) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.94% ( 0.12) | 38.06% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.17% ( 0.11) | 74.83% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Rochdale |
2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.41% Total : 68.31% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.85% | 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 13.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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