Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
40.96% ( 2.14) | 23.9% ( -0.27) | 35.14% ( -1.87) |
Both teams to score 61.56% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.37% ( 1.07) | 40.62% ( -1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.99% ( 1.09) | 63.01% ( -1.09) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 1.47) | 20.08% ( -1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.68% ( 2.3) | 52.32% ( -2.31) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.03% ( -0.5) | 22.96% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.25% ( -0.74) | 56.75% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.96% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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