Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
43.41% ( -0.18) | 24.9% ( -0) | 31.69% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.71% ( 0.08) | 46.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( 0.08) | 68.58% ( -0.08) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.65% ( -0.05) | 21.35% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.68% ( -0.07) | 54.32% ( 0.07) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( 0.16) | 27.7% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( 0.21) | 63.26% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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