Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
58.23% | 23.16% | 18.61% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.75% | 50.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% | 72.21% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% | 16.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.92% | 47.08% |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.95% | 41.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.4% | 77.6% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 58.22% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2% Total : 18.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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