Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
45.81% ( 0.02) | 23.59% ( -0) | 30.6% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% ( 0.01) | 40.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% ( 0.01) | 63.15% ( -0.01) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% ( 0.01) | 18.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.01% ( 0.02) | 48.99% ( -0.01) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% ( -0) | 25.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% ( -0.01) | 60.58% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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