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Chesterfield
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
Technique Stadium
Portsmouth

Chesterfield
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Naylor (32')
Naylor (72'), Jones (87'), Palmer (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rafferty (38'), Kamara (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Chesterfield and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-3 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Chesterfield 2-4 Portsmouth

In what could be a thriller between two of the most in-form teams in English football, Portsmouth's class and higher-level experience may just get them over the line. Chesterfield have been near-faultless in the National League though, and they will be tricky customers for Mousinho's side, despite being two divisions below their upcoming opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawPortsmouth
27.83%24.33%47.84%
Both teams to score 56.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.21%45.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.89%68.1%
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89%30.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75%66.25%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06%50.94%
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 27.83%
    Portsmouth 47.84%
    Draw 24.32%
ChesterfieldDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.95%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.83%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 5.79%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-2 @ 7.87%
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 47.84%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Portsmouth

Chesterfield
Draw
Portsmouth
Chesterfield
18.8%
Draw
6.3%
Portsmouth
75.0%
16
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
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