Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Woking had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Woking win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Woking |
43.49% ( 2.17) | 26.09% ( -0.39) | 30.42% ( -1.78) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% ( 0.97) | 51.86% ( -0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0.83) | 73.62% ( -0.83) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( 1.52) | 23.71% ( -1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% ( 2.15) | 57.83% ( -2.15) |
Woking Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( -0.74) | 31.36% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.28% ( -0.87) | 67.72% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Woking |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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