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West Brom logo
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chesterfield

West Brom
4 - 0
Chesterfield

Swift (23'), Rogic (48'), Livermore (54'), Malcolm (90+1')
Ajayi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Banks (68'), Dobra (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between West Bromwich Albion and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Chesterfield

Following a terrible scare in Chesterfield, now back on home soil, Albion's second string should make the most of their second chance. The hosts' greater individual quality is set to shine, as competition for places in a thriving team will spur them on to a place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
57.38% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 23.34% (-0.133 -0.13) 19.29% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.54% (0.705 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.782 0.78)50.05% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.692 0.69)72.02% (-0.69 -0.69)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.262 0.26)17.2% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.461 0.46)47.48% (-0.46 -0.46)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (0.66500000000001 0.67)40.16% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.6 0.6)76.8% (-0.598 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 57.38%
    Chesterfield 19.29%
    Draw 23.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.29%

How you voted: West Brom vs Chesterfield

West Bromwich Albion
74.2%
Draw
16.7%
Chesterfield
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Third Round
Chesterfield
3-3
West Brom
Williams (7'), Dobra (36', 41')
Quigley (64')
Thomas-Asante (2', 90+3'), Grant (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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