MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 19:23:20| >> :120:85120:85120:
West Brom logo
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chesterfield

West Brom
4 - 0
Chesterfield

Swift (23'), Rogic (48'), Livermore (54'), Malcolm (90+1')
Ajayi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Banks (68'), Dobra (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between West Bromwich Albion and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Chesterfield

Following a terrible scare in Chesterfield, now back on home soil, Albion's second string should make the most of their second chance. The hosts' greater individual quality is set to shine, as competition for places in a thriving team will spur them on to a place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
57.38% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 23.34% (-0.133 -0.13) 19.29% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.54% (0.705 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.782 0.78)50.05% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.692 0.69)72.02% (-0.69 -0.69)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.262 0.26)17.2% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.461 0.46)47.48% (-0.46 -0.46)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (0.66500000000001 0.67)40.16% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.6 0.6)76.8% (-0.598 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 57.38%
    Chesterfield 19.29%
    Draw 23.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.29%

How you voted: West Brom vs Chesterfield

West Bromwich Albion
74.2%
Draw
16.7%
Chesterfield
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Third Round
Chesterfield
3-3
West Brom
Williams (7'), Dobra (36', 41')
Quigley (64')
Thomas-Asante (2', 90+3'), Grant (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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