Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
63.31% ( 0.04) | 19.93% ( -0.01) | 16.76% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.76% ( -0.04) | 39.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.43% ( -0.04) | 61.57% ( 0.04) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.2% ( -0) | 11.8% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.99% ( -0) | 37.01% |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( -0.06) | 36.66% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( -0.06) | 73.45% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.77% 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 63.31% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 16.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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