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Aldershot Town
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
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Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Hartlepool United
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Oldham Athletic
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Southend United
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Dagenham & Redbridge
National League | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium
Chesterfield

Dag & Red
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Hill (54')
Appiah-Forson (64'), Hessenthaler (82'), Eastman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berry (31'), Dobra (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Chesterfield

On the back of defeating Rochdale at the weekend, Dagenham & Redbridge will be confident of causing a surprise against the leaders. However, we cannot back against Chesterfield in any fixture at this level, leading us to predict a hard-earned win with several goals being scored in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
31.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.17% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 44.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (0.436 0.44)43.15% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (0.43 0.43)65.55% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.227 0.23)26.45% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.299 0.3)61.63% (-0.297 -0.3)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (0.209 0.21)19.53% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.58% (0.341 0.34)51.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dagenham & Redbridge 31.23%
    Chesterfield 44.6%
    Draw 24.16%
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.6%

How you voted: Dag & Red vs Chesterfield

Dagenham & Redbridge
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Chesterfield
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Chesterfield
3-1
Dag & Red
Colclough (73'), Grigg (90+1' pen.), Banks (90+7')
Grimes (87')
Rees (39')
Tavares (4'), Vincent (52')
Phipps (69')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Chesterfield
2-3
Dag & Red
Horton (55'), Williams (90+2')
Morias (4'), McCallum (17', 44')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chesterfield
2-1
Dag & Red
Tshimanga (44' pen., 62' pen.)
Khan (30'), Tshimanga (33'), King (68')
Walker (35')
Walker (61'), Rance (65'), Jones (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dag & Red
2-2
Chesterfield
Balanta (13'), Saunders (23')
Reynolds (64'), Vilhete (66'), (84')
(90')
Grimes (50'), Tshimanga (52')
Payne (26'), Grimes (34'), Kellerman (38'), Khan (76'), Whittle (90+3')
Grimes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City1610512891935
2Forest Green RoversForest Green16104229131634
3Barnet16110534201433
4Gateshead1610332819933
5Oldham AthleticOldham168622517830
6Rochdale1683525151027
7Yeovil TownYeovil167452015525
8Solihull MoorsSolihull167362325-224
9AltrinchamAltrincham166552320323
10Halifax TownHalifax166551816223
11Eastleigh166552423123
12Sutton UnitedSutton166462424022
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red165652617921
14Southend UnitedSouthend165652019121
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool165651516-121
16Tamworth166371927-821
17Aldershot TownAldershot164662125-418
18Woking164571823-517
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead164482026-616
20Fylde164392036-1615
21Braintree TownBraintree163491119-813
22WealdstoneWealdstone162681425-1112
23Boston UnitedBoston1624101529-1410
24Ebbsfleet1614111436-227


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