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Aldershot Town
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
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Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Hartlepool United
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Solihull Moors
Southend United
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Yeovil Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
National League | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium
Chesterfield

Dag & Red
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Hill (54')
Appiah-Forson (64'), Hessenthaler (82'), Eastman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berry (31'), Dobra (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Chesterfield

On the back of defeating Rochdale at the weekend, Dagenham & Redbridge will be confident of causing a surprise against the leaders. However, we cannot back against Chesterfield in any fixture at this level, leading us to predict a hard-earned win with several goals being scored in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
31.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.17% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 44.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (0.436 0.44)43.15% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (0.43 0.43)65.55% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.227 0.23)26.45% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.299 0.3)61.63% (-0.297 -0.3)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (0.209 0.21)19.53% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.58% (0.341 0.34)51.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dagenham & Redbridge 31.23%
    Chesterfield 44.6%
    Draw 24.16%
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.6%

How you voted: Dag & Red vs Chesterfield

Dagenham & Redbridge
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Chesterfield
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Chesterfield
3-1
Dag & Red
Colclough (73'), Grigg (90+1' pen.), Banks (90+7')
Grimes (87')
Rees (39')
Tavares (4'), Vincent (52')
Phipps (69')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Chesterfield
2-3
Dag & Red
Horton (55'), Williams (90+2')
Morias (4'), McCallum (17', 44')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chesterfield
2-1
Dag & Red
Tshimanga (44' pen., 62' pen.)
Khan (30'), Tshimanga (33'), King (68')
Walker (35')
Walker (61'), Rance (65'), Jones (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dag & Red
2-2
Chesterfield
Balanta (13'), Saunders (23')
Reynolds (64'), Vilhete (66'), (84')
(90')
Grimes (50'), Tshimanga (52')
Payne (26'), Grimes (34'), Kellerman (38'), Khan (76'), Whittle (90+3')
Grimes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet32207563313267
2York City30196559263363
3Forest Green RoversForest Green311711350252562
4Oldham AthleticOldham311511549321756
5Gateshead30157855371852
6Halifax TownHalifax3114983830851
7AltrinchamAltrincham301310750351549
8Rochdale27135939231644
9Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool32101483838044
10Southend UnitedSouthend311110103733443
11Solihull MoorsSolihull31126134745242
12Sutton UnitedSutton30119104038242
13Eastleigh30101194038241
14Yeovil TownYeovil31109123538-339
15Tamworth31109123649-1339
16Woking31811123244-1235
17Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red31810134444034
18Braintree TownBraintree3197153142-1134
19Aldershot TownAldershot29612114250-830
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3086163657-2130
21WealdstoneWealdstone30611133447-1329
22Fylde3085173660-2429
23Boston UnitedBoston2848162445-2120
24Ebbsfleet32110212169-4813


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