Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
20.89% ( -0.31) | 20.42% ( -0.16) | 58.69% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 62.1% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.28% ( 0.35) | 34.71% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.33% ( 0.39) | 56.67% ( -0.39) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( -0.07) | 29.69% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( -0.09) | 65.75% ( 0.09) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% ( 0.24) | 11.67% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.25% ( 0.51) | 36.75% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.95% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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