Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
20.89% ( -0.31) | 20.42% ( -0.16) | 58.69% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 62.1% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.28% ( 0.35) | 34.71% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.33% ( 0.39) | 56.67% ( -0.39) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( -0.07) | 29.69% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( -0.09) | 65.75% ( 0.09) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% ( 0.24) | 11.67% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.25% ( 0.51) | 36.75% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.95% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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