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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Altrincham

Wrexham
4 - 0
Altrincham

Mullin (31'), Palmer (33', 64'), Jones (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Altrincham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Halifax
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Oldham
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 3-0 Altrincham

 Altrincham have seemed like a new team in recent matches, but given Wrexham's impeccable home record, it will be one step too far for the Robins to get anything out of Saturday's game. The Dragons have made it a habit of scoring a lot of goals at home, and we think that will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 8.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawAltrincham
79.93% (-0.7 -0.7) 11.96% (0.373 0.37) 8.11% (0.327 0.33)
Both teams to score 59.29% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.78% (-0.786 -0.79)22.22% (0.785 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.8% (-1.086 -1.09)41.2% (1.085 1.09)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.69% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)4.31% (0.2449 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.14% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)17.86% (0.775 0.78)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)38.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.81% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 79.93%
    Altrincham 8.11%
    Draw 11.96%
WrexhamDrawAltrincham
3-0 @ 8.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 8.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.168 0.17)
4-0 @ 6.68% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 6.45% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.15% (0.198 0.2)
5-0 @ 4.2% (-0.146 -0.15)
5-1 @ 4.06% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 3.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-0 @ 2.2% (-0.119 -0.12)
6-1 @ 2.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-2 @ 1.96% (-0.065 -0.07)
6-2 @ 1.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
7-0 @ 0.99% (-0.073 -0.07)
7-1 @ 0.96% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 79.93%
1-1 @ 4.98% (0.195 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 1.64% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 11.96%
1-2 @ 2.41% (0.096 0.1)
0-1 @ 1.58% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 8.11%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Altrincham

Wrexham
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Altrincham
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Davies (2'), Mullin (28', 33'), Palmer (35')
Young (56'), Jones (72')

Jones (40'), Osborne (65')
Dec 28, 2021 3pm
Altrincham
0-3
Wrexham

Furman (76')
Hayden (24'), Hosannah (38')
Lennon (13'), Lainton (89')
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Altrincham
1-2
Wrexham
Colclough (51')
Mullarkey (41')
Thomas (36', 68')
Harris (12')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Wrexham
0-1
Altrincham

Davies (51')
Sutton (44')
Kosylo (89')
Feb 9, 2016 7.45pm
Altrincham
1-1
Wrexham
Ginnelly (11')
Crowther (21'), Richman (42')
Heslop (29')
Fyfield (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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