Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Gateshead |
38.75% ( 0.05) | 25.49% ( 0.18) | 35.76% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.05% ( -0.84) | 47.95% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.87% ( -0.77) | 70.13% ( 0.78) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.63% ( -0.35) | 24.37% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.22% ( -0.5) | 58.78% ( 0.5) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.98% ( -0.52) | 26.02% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.95% ( -0.7) | 61.05% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.35% Total : 35.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
> National League Full Table |