Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.