Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
29.01% ( 0.91) | 25.06% ( 0.67) | 45.92% ( -1.58) |
Both teams to score 54.87% ( -1.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% ( -2.37) | 48.25% ( 2.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% ( -2.2) | 70.4% ( 2.21) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( -0.56) | 30.51% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( -0.66) | 66.73% ( 0.67) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -1.63) | 21.04% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( -2.61) | 53.84% ( 2.61) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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