Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Gateshead |
41.01% ( 0.01) | 22.69% ( -0) | 36.3% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 66.43% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.63% ( 0.01) | 34.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.71% ( 0.01) | 56.29% ( -0.01) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.56% ( 0.01) | 17.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.1% ( 0.02) | 47.9% ( -0.02) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% ( -0) | 19.53% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% ( -0.01) | 51.43% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.93% 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.39% Total : 36.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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