Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Barnet |
49.79% ( 0.03) | 22.21% ( 0) | 28% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 64.12% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.25% ( -0.05) | 35.75% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.18% ( -0.05) | 57.82% ( 0.05) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( -0.01) | 14.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.09% ( -0.01) | 42.91% ( 0.01) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% ( -0.05) | 24.82% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% ( -0.06) | 59.41% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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